Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah St.
Western Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#133
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#165
Pace58.7#324
Improvement+0.3#151

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#79
Improvement+1.1#106

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#209
Improvement-0.8#203
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 45   BYU W 69-62 38%     1 - 0 +12.4 +2.1 +10.4
  Nov 15, 2011 123   @ Weber St. L 63-73 34%     1 - 1 -3.5 -8.4 +4.6
  Nov 19, 2011 232   Southern Utah W 65-62 82%     2 - 1 -4.3 +6.9 -10.4
  Nov 22, 2011 306   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 55-58 OT 80%     2 - 2 -9.5 -14.9 +5.2
  Nov 26, 2011 300   @ Idaho St. W 75-62 77%     3 - 2 +7.5 +4.4 +4.1
  Nov 30, 2011 79   Denver L 54-67 48%     3 - 3 -10.0 -3.8 -10.0
  Dec 03, 2011 271   @ Pacific L 57-65 69%     3 - 4 -10.9 -12.9 +1.3
  Dec 06, 2011 240   Utah Valley W 63-54 83%     4 - 4 +1.1 -9.5 +11.1
  Dec 10, 2011 9   @ Wichita St. L 76-83 7%     4 - 5 +11.5 +9.5 +2.1
  Dec 17, 2011 223   Seattle W 78-53 80%     5 - 5 +18.3 +3.3 +15.2
  Dec 20, 2011 108   Texas Arlington W 73-69 56%     6 - 5 +4.7 +7.4 -2.3
  Dec 21, 2011 315   St. Peter's W 72-47 94%     7 - 5 +10.1 -2.8 +13.6
  Dec 22, 2011 116   Kent St. W 81-62 59%     8 - 5 +19.2 +8.1 +11.1
  Dec 31, 2011 70   @ Mississippi St. L 64-66 22%     8 - 6 +8.3 -0.2 +8.3
  Jan 05, 2012 177   Fresno St. W 72-53 73%     9 - 6 1 - 0 +14.9 +11.6 +7.0
  Jan 07, 2012 100   Nevada L 71-78 54%     9 - 7 1 - 1 -5.6 +7.4 -13.8
  Jan 12, 2012 50   @ New Mexico St. L 60-80 18%     9 - 8 1 - 2 -8.1 -6.0 -2.4
  Jan 14, 2012 185   @ Louisiana Tech W 69-65 51%     10 - 8 2 - 2 +6.1 -3.2 +9.3
  Jan 19, 2012 223   @ Seattle L 66-73 59%     10 - 9 -6.9 -3.1 -4.1
  Jan 21, 2012 150   @ Idaho L 54-57 41%     10 - 10 2 - 3 +1.7 -11.2 +12.5
  Jan 26, 2012 210   Hawaii W 77-72 78%     11 - 10 3 - 3 -0.8 +4.4 -4.9
  Jan 28, 2012 263   San Jose St. W 82-65 86%     12 - 10 4 - 3 +7.6 +14.5 -4.5
  Feb 02, 2012 100   @ Nevada L 52-53 29%     12 - 11 4 - 4 +7.3 -7.3 +14.3
  Feb 04, 2012 177   @ Fresno St. L 54-60 49%     12 - 12 4 - 5 -3.3 -6.9 +2.6
  Feb 09, 2012 185   Louisiana Tech W 77-63 75%     13 - 12 5 - 5 +9.3 +6.6 +3.6
  Feb 11, 2012 50   New Mexico St. L 69-80 40%     13 - 13 5 - 6 -5.9 +6.7 -13.9
  Feb 18, 2012 110   UC Santa Barbara L 64-72 56%     13 - 14 -7.3 -1.4 -7.1
  Feb 24, 2012 150   Idaho W 67-50 67%     14 - 14 6 - 6 +14.9 +4.0 +14.3
  Mar 01, 2012 263   @ San Jose St. W 71-61 68%     15 - 14 7 - 6 +7.4 +6.9 +2.1
  Mar 03, 2012 210   @ Hawaii W 61-60 55%     16 - 14 8 - 6 +2.0 -6.1 +8.2
  Mar 08, 2012 185   Louisiana Tech L 70-72 64%     16 - 15 -3.3 +6.5 -10.1
Projected Record 16.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 100.0% 100.0
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%